以博弈论思维剖析委托型公益项目失败隐藏问题：发生机制、类型与破解思路

秘书 ›› 2025, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (4): 48-63.

以博弈论思维剖析委托型公益项目失败隐藏问题：发生机制、类型与破解思路

吴雪萌

吉林大学

出版日期:2025-07-25 发布日期:2025-07-21
作者简介:吴雪萌，吉林大学哲学社会学院博士研究生。研究方向：社会公益、公益组织。

A Game-Theoretical Analysis of Failure Hiding in Commissioned Philanthropic Projects：Mechanisms，Types and Solutions

WU Xuemeng

Online:2025-07-25 Published:2025-07-21

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

本文关注为何罕有主动公开公益项目失败的现象。基于委托型公益项目中委托方、代理方以及公众监督方相互影响的现实关系，本研究创新性地引入博弈论思维，并在其与质性研究经验的互动中剖析委托型公益项目失败隐藏问题。研究发现：在项目行动主体对公众监督方监督倾向的预期下，缩减的行动序列所蕴含的收益与风险引导项目委托方做出向公众隐藏项目失败的理性选择；委托型公益项目失败隐藏问题的背后并非统一的场景，而是呈现主体纠偏积极性与项目纠偏程度组合的四种类型；推动公众监督方向建设型转变能够有力破解困局，有利于失败项目纠偏。

关键词: 委托型公益项目, 失败隐藏, 博弈论, 类型分析, 公众监督

Abstract:

This paper focuses on why there is little proactive disclosure of philanthropic project failures. Based on the reality of the interplay among the principals，the agents，and the public supervisors in commissioned philanthropic projects，the study innovatively introduces game-theoretic perspective and analyzes the hidden issues surrounding project failure in the interaction with qualitative research experiences. The study finds that：under the expectation of the project actors on the tendency of the public supervisors，the perceived risks and benefits embedded in a reduced sequence of actions guide the principals to make rational choices to hide the failure of the project from the public；there is not a uniform scene behind the failure concealment of commissioned philanthropic projects，but rather，there are four types of characterized by different combinations of actors’ engagement in correction and the extent of project-level rectification；promoting the shift of public supervision towards a constructive approach can effectively solve the dilemma and facilitate the correction of failed projects.

Key words: commissioned philanthropic projects, failure hiding, game theory, type analysis, public supervision

吴雪萌. 以博弈论思维剖析委托型公益项目失败隐藏问题：发生机制、类型与破解思路[J]. 秘书, 2025, 43(4): 48-63.

WU Xuemeng. A Game-Theoretical Analysis of Failure Hiding in Commissioned Philanthropic Projects：Mechanisms，Types and Solutions[J]. Secretary, 2025, 43(4): 48-63.